Archive for the ‘Politics’ Category

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What s going on in Iran now?

June 17, 2009

I have some foreign friends (almost all of them are atheist) who have asked me same questions about new situations of Iran so I decided to write this post to answer them in one place . If you want to know my view about this before the election or you need some more info please visit my previous post.

First of all What happened ?
I don’t write about it very much because you can find about it in many news sites. In this election Mir hosein Mosavi had the highest chance to be elected probably the second chance belonged to Mehdi Karoobi and then Ahmadi nejad and Mohsen Rezai . Most people though that whether Mosavi would won the election in first stage (if he had won more than 50% of votes) or the result of election would be revealed in the second stage(if none of candidates could gain more than 50%)
in election day (12th of june) the atmosphere of society was strange : the government disabled Short Message Service of mobiles phones however most people (they announced 85%) participated in this elections but there were some signs that Ahmadinjead’s government didn’t like it and because of it a few people couldn’t vote! The most strange thing happened a few hours (about 2 hour) after end of the election . They began to announce the results(they count ballot by hand)!!! about 10 hours later ahamdinejad was the winner with a breaking a record in all election in the history of Iran .supreme leader the most powerful man in Iran(a mullah) admit it by sending a congratulation message.  For most people it was obvious that it is just Ahmadinjead’s swindler government designed result .although from the previous day the government had sent many police and anti riot forces to streets in Tehran many people without any call went to streets to object and it caused some violences . In this day the government intensified internet filtering (blocking all preposition’s sites and some popular sites like youtube and facebook again and for the first time yahoo messenger[it s very popular messenger among Iraninans] ) meanwhile  in the next days the objections got stronger and spread out to other large cities they repressed harder . Even in some cities they disabled mobile phones completely but in TV Ahamdinejad called all this something like unimportant discontent after a football match . This was a summary of what happened .
Now some of my points of views :
1  They have lost a large part of their legitimacy and if they insist on Ahmadinejad’s remaining they will lost the whole of their legitimacy. And most of people will be against them this time clearly so in this condition they can just govern in very militaristic atmosphere . However it s not good for them too but it is one of their two options . If they accept to falsify the election and perhaps a new election in this case the loose many things too . In fact in this scenario they have confessed to  their crimes in  the election and this victory of people encourage them for future events . So changing the people votes was really a foolish mistakes (all candidate believes in the bases of ISLAMIC republic and none of them (specially Mosavi) had proposed a fundamental change).

2 Many of these protesters were not pro Mosavi or pro Karoobi (like myself) they just vote for them and for many of their main reason was to prevent Ahmadinejad(again like myself) but at this time it seems that they need and want a leader and the only choice is Mosavi so this movement has became a green movement (green was the color of mosavi’s fans)

3  I am happy to have voted because now i feel i have right to say “WHERE IS MY VOTE?” (even for a mullah [read my previous post for more comment])
What will happen?
I don’t know! Perhaps the worst scenario: they will kill and arrest many of protesters and continue to govern in a militaristic atmosphere and people will know that reforming in ISLAMIC republic(!!!) is absolutely impossible .

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Should I vote for a mullah?

June 8, 2009

These days Iran experiences a new political atmosphere which has affected most people. it is because of coming Tenth presidential election I think this new atmosphere has brought us some positive points:
for the first time we watched TV disputation between candidates and these disputation cleared many things for all people (perhaps because it was the first time) . It  revealed how  greedy  they are for power . In these disputations Ahmadinejad proved that he doesn’t know any thing about moralities he showed his rare ability to lie obviously in front of TV cameras and ten millions of viewers . They brought up some issues like big financial corruptions which had never been discussed in a public medias .i get thrilled when I see a candidate called Ahmadinejad a liar in Islamic TV or when they bring up each other dark past . all these resembles a putrid swamp which because of a shaking its bad smell has increased a lot. But I think people must smell it and never forget it. Yes it seams even a weak and faked democracies have some positive  points.
Anyway now why I choosed this title for this blog post . There are 4 candidates who none of them presents even a part of which I expect form president.
1 Mahmood Ahmadinjed the prsenet president who many people in the world know him for his ridiculous speeches and behaviors
2 Mohsen Rezai the former commander of revolutionary guards (a slaughter )
3 Mehdi Karoobi a mullah a former parliament chief . He has dark past too but not as dark as the others’ past. No he clearly talks about his reformist beliefs and tendencies.
4 Mir Hosein Mosavi former prime minster during war between iran and iraq(now we don’t have prime minster in Iran when he was prime minster he had most abilities of the president) he is a so called reformist but he wants to have traditional forces in his basket too so he never talks being a reformist or …
between these candidates Ahmadinejad and Mosavi have higher chance . Ahamadinejad for his power to change result of ballots and the support of some red necks whom been fed  in recent months . And Mosavi for Khatami’s support(so called reformist pretty popular former president) and a opposition wave among people which he has built against Ahamadinejad . But I am sure if vote I won’t vote for none of them . So the only unpleasant choice which remains for me is voting for that mullah because he is less worse that the others.
What do you think? Is it embarrassing for an atheist/agnostic(who can’t leave the country at least for some years) to vote to a mullah ? Should I abstain like a few other people?.(i know abstaining doesn’t work in Iran because they can easily announce false statistics) .
By the way did I make many mistakes in this text?(it was my first time that I wrote something about this kind of subject in English)

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Be Back after two years

October 30, 2008

After two years i want to write here again my first new post is an answer to Anne a friend of mine who wanted to know my opnion about this article(Sleepless in Tehran) from new york times.
this is man is completely right about condition’s of Iran  especially about its economics and the affect of it over its politics. but i am not sure he has considered all factors .
what are the other factors?
i think these three or four factors below must be considered too.
0 There are many common interests between Iran and USA. i don’t want to count them here.it needs a large independent post and i am not so much interested to write about politics. anyway they must understand it.I think both side haven’t noticed to it enough yet especially Iran. but does Obama  wants to notice? i don’t know.
1 enmity against USA has become a tool in hands of iranian mullahs. have relationship with USA equals that there is no “The great Satan”. but they need this “the great Satan” to suffocate any internal movement(women right, labours’ objections,…. ) in a militaristic atmosphere. so they don’t want loose this factor. i think they just want some kind of negotiation 1 to calm down USA and save some time 2 to reduce the danger and pressure of USA . they prefer USA as enemy but without real danger so they want negotiation to achieve this goal.
2 The second factor is unpredictability and chaos in Iran’s policy. really there is little logic in mullahs’ policies i don’t mean my logic your logic or even their logic so here the wind of wining a butterfly can cause a hurricane and this hurricane can changes many things and we can’t predict in which direction!.
3 successful negotiation often is a win win game. but there s big question and that s weather wining for iranian government is a win for Iranian people too? in this case the answer can be NO however depends on condition can be yes too.
will Obama forget human rights issues in Iran and strengthen iranian fundementalist govenment and produce another saudi aribia ?i don’t know

(please if you saw a gramatical or structural mistake in this post metion them to me thanks)